From a recent article by the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry: “Cash remains king in Vietnam but credit card issuers are predicting an imminent boom in the card market with the number of Vietnamese cardholders potentially growing by 10 times the current number of nearly one million. Nguyen Thu Ha, chairperson of the Vietnam … More Payment Card Industry in Vietnam – A Systemic Risks Analysis
Our Resistance to Shock Rating Robot – try it here – may be used to rate entire sectors and markets. More information may be found here. We periodically rate a few large market sectors as well as market indices. The results are presented in the table below. Two things stand out clearly. The FTSE … More Resistance to Shocks Ratings of Market Sectors and Indices
Knowledge is power. Knowledge is an organized, dynamic set of interdependent rules. Rules are, for example, something like this: if A then B If you have a number of variables (A, B, C, etc.) that are relevant to a particular problem or system, and they happen to form a set in which these rules (potentially) … More The Information & Manageability Index
UR’s stock and portfolio on-line analysis system is a Rating Robot which allows users to measure the complexity and resilience of stocks/securities and portfolios. Resilience provides a new means of measuring not only the volatility of a stock portfolio but also the degree of intricacy or complexity. This is of paramount importance since, as the … More A Portfolio Rating Robot
A recent article on a Goldman Sachs report released last week, which hints there may be a new tech bubble, states that: “Goldman Sachs on Friday released a report on the top five outperforming mega-cap names in tech with some warnings on valuations and concerns that their volatility has become extraordinarily low. In fact, the stocks … More Is There a Big Tech Stocks Bubble?
Who rates Credit Rating Agencies? Apparently nobody does. Who rates Moody’s? Standard & Poor’s? Probably not. And who rates Fitch? Moody’s? Unlikely. It is not easy to rate them all as only Moody’s is the only publicly listed one of the Big Three (NYSE:MCO). Standard & Poor’s is an LLC subsidiary of S&P Global, Fitch … More Rating a Rating Agency. We’ve Rated Moody’s.
Is a triple-A rating reliable? In some cases it is. In many cases it is not. Remember a few illustrious examples from 2008? As we know, a triple-A rating – indicating a prime investment-grade financial product or borrower – is issued when the corresponding Probability of Default (PoD) is judged to be very low. It … More Getting Insurance for Triple-A Ratings
Q: What is Resistance to Shocks (RtS)? A: Resistance to Shocks is the capability of a business, a portfolio or a fund, to withstand disruptive and destabilising events in the markets, in the economy and in the geopolitical scenario. Q: How many RtS rating classes are there? A: Conventional ratings have between 20 to 30 … More A Flash Interview with Universal Ratings’ Chairman
Correlations are present everywhere. The concept of correlation is one of the key constructs of statistics, modelling, simulation. It is used to design portfolios, to estimate risks, to perform VaR analysis, compute Probabilities of Default, etc. A correlation expresses how strongly two variable are interdependent. It is therefore of paramount importance to measure correlations correctly. … More The Dangers of Linear Correlation
What information do you look for when you decide to buy or sell a security? You basically look for expert’s buy/sell advice. Today, there is another piece of information which can be helpful: complexity. Knowing if you are purchasing a complex (or a simple) product has many obvious advantages. To that end, we have launched … More How Complex are Publicly Traded Securities?